CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
Active
Yes
45.0%
$0.4500
No
63.0%
$0.6300
Event Volume
$86.1K
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of cred...
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|---|---|---|
| Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? | $7.2M | Dec 31, 2026 |