Total Volume
$18.1K
Outcomes
6
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for April 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for April 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.20–1.24ºC | 38.0% | 77.0% | $0 |
| 1.25–1.29ºC | 37.0% | 83.0% | $0 |
| 1.15–1.19ºC | 36.0% | 85.0% | $0 |
| >1.29ºC | 34.0% | 87.0% | $0 |
| 1.10–1.14ºC | 19.0% | 96.0% | $0 |
| <1.10ºC | 8.0% | 93.0% | $0 |
More Weather Events
| Event | Outcomes | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|
| Named storm forms before hurricane season? | 1 | $325.8K | May 31, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Seoul on March 30? | 11 | $315.7K | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 30? | 11 | $287.5K | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Denver on March 29? | 11 | $168.3K | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Toronto on March 31? | 11 | $140.0K | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Megaquake by March 31? | 1 | $126.2K | Mar 31, 2026 |