Total Volume
$10.7M
Outcomes
13
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This mark...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (25 bps) | 33.0% | 68.0% | $1 |
| 0 (0 bps) | 26.9% | 73.2% | $2 |
| 2 (50 bps) | 20.0% | 81.0% | $1 |
| 3 (75 bps) | 10.0% | 91.0% | $1 |
| 4 (100 bps) | 4.7% | 95.4% | $1 |
| 5 (125 bps) | 2.7% | 97.5% | $1 |
| 12+ (300+ bps) | 1.7% | 98.4% | $1 |
| 6 (150 bps) | 1.6% | 98.6% | $2 |
| 7 (175 bps) | 1.0% | 99.1% | $1 |
| 8 (200 bps) | 0.8% | 99.4% | $1 |
| 9 (225 bps) | 0.7% | 99.4% | $0 |
| 11 (275 bps) | 0.4% | 99.8% | $1 |
| 10 (250 bps) | 0.4% | 99.8% | $1 |
More Economics Events
| Event | Outcomes | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decision in March? | 4 | $518.6M | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Largest Company end of March? | 7 | $12.3M | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Fed decision in April? | 4 | $10.2M | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Largest Company end of June? | 7 | $2.6M | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan Decision in March? | 4 | $2.1M | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Fed Decision in June? | 5 | $2.1M | Jun 17, 2026 |