How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5.0%

Economics Jupiter Ends Jan 10, 2026 0 days left
Active
Yes
61.0%
$0.6100
No
41.0%
$0.4100
Event Volume
$265.2K
Outcomes in Event
5
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is greater than or equal to the listed percentage. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The relevant reports for this market are the Employment Situation Reports for January-December, 2026. This mark...

Other Outcomes: How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

View All Outcomes

This event has 5 possible outcomes. See event page →

5.5%
33.0%
6.0%
20.0%
7.0%
16.0%
10.0%
7.1%

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