Yes
30.0%
$0.3000
No
71.0%
$0.7100
Event Volume
$188.9K
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET: - A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6) - An 8.5+ earthquake occurs Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s...
More Climate & science Events
| Event | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|
| Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? | $7.5M | Dec 31, 2026 |