Yes
16.0%
$0.1600
No
85.8%
$0.8580
Event Volume
$15.8K
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product. Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4...
More Economics Events
| Event | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|
| Fed decision in March? | $518.6M | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Fed decision in April? | $38.4M | Apr 29, 2026 |