US defaults on debt by 2027?

Economics Jupiter Ends Dec 31, 2026 286 days left
Active
Yes
5.8%
$0.0580
No
94.9%
$0.9490
Event Volume
$14.1K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the...

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