Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Climate & science Jupiter Ends Dec 31, 2026 286 days left
Active
Yes
40.0%
$0.4000
No
61.0%
$0.6100
Event Volume
$275.8K
Resolution Rules

For the purposes of this market, a Category 4 hurricane is a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 130-156 mph, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any storm makes landfall in the conterminous United States as a Category 4 hurricane, as reported in official N...

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