Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
Active
Yes
16.0%
$0.1600
No
90.0%
$0.9000
Event Volume
$0
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R. R. Martin publicly and explicitly announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that an installment of A Song of Ice and Fire titled "The Winds of Winter" will be released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "The Winds of Winter" (e.g., Fire & Blood, A Sworn Sword) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution. The book must have the w...
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