80+
Active
Yes
0.4%
$0.0040
No
99.8%
$0.9980
Event Volume
$603.3K
Outcomes in Event
4
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above __ for any date between market creation and March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The number of daily transit calls/arrivals includes container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch p...
Other Outcomes: Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
View All OutcomesThis event has 4 possible outcomes. See event page →
More Economics Events
| Event | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|
| Fed decision in March? | $518.6M | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Fed decision in April? | $38.4M | Apr 29, 2026 |