Yes
59.0%
$0.5900
No
72.0%
$0.7200
Event Volume
$0
Resolution Rules
The U.S. federal budget deficit for September 2025 was $197,949,630,362.16 (see: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/summary-of-receipts-outlays-and-the-deficit-surplus-of-the-u-s-government). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) reports a lower monthly deficit in December 2026 than in September 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) published by...
More Economics Events
| Event | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|
| Fed decision in March? | $518.6M | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Fed decision in April? | $38.4M | Apr 29, 2026 |