3rd hottest
Active
Yes
47.0%
$0.4700
No
65.0%
$0.6500
Event Volume
$1.8K
Outcomes in Event
4
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2026 versus the data points available for all other Aprils on record. Note: If April 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" (https://data.giss.nasa....
Other Outcomes: 2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
View All OutcomesThis event has 4 possible outcomes. See event page →
More Weather Events
| Event | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|
| Named storm forms before hurricane season? | $325.8K | May 31, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Seoul on March 30? | $315.7K | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 30? | $287.5K | Mar 30, 2026 |