Total Volume
$1.8K
Outcomes
4
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2026 versus the data points available for all other Aprils on record. Note: If April 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" (https://data.giss.nasa....
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3rd hottest | 47.0% | 65.0% | $0 |
| 2nd hottest | 41.0% | 76.0% | $0 |
| 4th or lower | 30.0% | 92.0% | $0 |
| 1st hottest | 25.0% | 90.0% | $0 |
More Weather Events
| Event | Outcomes | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|
| Named storm forms before hurricane season? | 1 | $325.8K | May 31, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Seoul on March 30? | 11 | $315.7K | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 30? | 11 | $287.5K | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Denver on March 29? | 11 | $168.3K | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Highest temperature in Toronto on March 31? | 11 | $140.0K | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Megaquake by March 31? | 1 | $126.2K | Mar 31, 2026 |