Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Lula da Silva <5%

Politics Jupiter Ends Oct 04, 2026 198 days left
Active
Yes
42.0%
$0.4200
No
69.0%
$0.6900
Event Volume
$7.1K
Outcomes in Event
11
Resolution Rules

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by...

Other Outcomes: Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

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This event has 11 possible outcomes. See event page →

Flávio Bolsonaro <5%
25.0%
Lula da Silva 5-10%
20.0%
Other
9.0%
Flávio Bolsonaro 10%+
8.9%
Lula da Silva 15%+
6.6%
Flávio Bolsonaro 5-10%
6.4%
Lula da Silva 10-15%
4.5%
Tarcisio de Freitas Victory
4.0%
Renan Santos Victory
3.4%
Ratinho Júnior Victory
1.7%

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