Which banks will fail by June 30?

Economics Jupiter Ends Jun 30, 2026 102 days left
Active
Total Volume
$145.4K
Outcomes
8
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed bank fails between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” For the purposes of this market, the listed bank will be considered to have “failed” if, within the listed date range, any of the following occurs under the bank’s applicable legal or regulatory framework: - The listed bank’s primary banking regulator formally declares the institution insolvent or non-viable, or withdraws or revokes the...

All Outcomes

Outcome Yes No Volume
JPMorgan Chase 2.5% 97.8% $0
BNP Paribas 2.5% 97.9% $0
Deutsche Bank 2.4% 97.8% $0
HSBC 2.3% 98.1% $0
Citigroup 2.3% 98.2% $0
Scotiabank 2.3% 97.8% $0
UBS 2.2% 98.2% $0
Goldman Sachs 2.1% 98.2% $0

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