Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?
Resolved
Total Volume
$72.5K
Outcomes
28
Resolution
Yes
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Styles | 100.0% | 0.1% | $0 |
| Bad Bunny | 100.0% | 0.1% | $0 |
| Morgan Wallen | 99.0% | 90.0% | $0 |
| Olivia Rodrigo | 97.0% | 20.0% | $0 |
| Peso Pluma | 94.0% | 100.0% | $0 |
| Mariah Carey | 93.0% | 14.0% | $0 |
| Ariana Grande | 89.0% | 40.0% | $0 |
| Drake | 86.0% | 29.0% | $0 |
| Playboi Carti | 77.0% | 95.0% | $0 |
| Sabrina Carpenter | 67.0% | 84.0% | $0 |
| SZA | 64.0% | 86.0% | $0 |
| Rihanna | 58.9% | 97.8% | $0 |
| Post Malone | 54.0% | 86.0% | $0 |
| A$AP Rocky | 50.0% | 92.0% | $0 |
| Billie Eilish | 44.0% | 75.0% | $0 |
| Travis Scott | 44.0% | 95.0% | $0 |
| Kanye West | 43.0% | 73.0% | $0 |
| Jack Harlow | 40.0% | 72.0% | $0 |
| Tyler, The Creator | 39.0% | 91.0% | $0 |
| The Weeknd | 35.0% | 75.0% | $0 |
| Luke Combs | 34.0% | 94.0% | $0 |
| Kendrick Lamar | 23.0% | 91.0% | $0 |
| Doja Cat | 23.0% | 93.0% | $0 |
| Frank Ocean | 21.9% | 97.8% | $0 |
| Future | 21.0% | 92.0% | $0 |
| Zach Bryan | 17.0% | 88.0% | $0 |
| Lil Baby | 16.0% | 96.0% | $0 |
| Ed Sheeran | 12.0% | 96.0% | $0 |
More Culture Events
| Event | Outcomes | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|
| NBA MVP | 22 | $67.6M | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | 1 | $52.5M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Eurovision Winner 2026 | 35 | $50.6M | May 16, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? | 8 | $29.5M | Jan 07, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 2 | $21.9M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | 1 | $13.0M | May 31, 2026 |