US Trade Deficit in 2026?

Economics Jupiter Ends Feb 28, 2027 287 days left
Active
Total Volume
$980
Outcomes
8
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027. Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Impor...

All Outcomes

Outcome Yes No Volume
800–900B 40.0% 72.0% $0
900B–1T 36.0% 82.0% $0
1.1T+ 19.0% 94.0% $0
700–800B 18.0% 95.0% $0
1T–1.1T 17.0% 92.0% $0
500–600B 11.0% 98.0% $0
600–700B 10.0% 98.0% $0
<500B 9.0% 92.0% $0

More Economics Events

Event Outcomes Volume Ends
Fed decision in March? 4 $518.6M Mar 18, 2026
Fed decision in April? 4 $38.4M Apr 29, 2026
Largest Company end of March? 7 $19.6M Mar 31, 2026
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair? 9 $15.6M Oct 31, 2026
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? 13 $14.7M Dec 31, 2026
Fed Decision in June? 5 $4.6M Jun 17, 2026