Total Volume
$752
Outcomes
9
Resolution Rules
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was pr...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pause–Pause–Pause | 79.0% | 33.0% | $0 |
| Other | 22.0% | 93.0% | $0 |
| Pause–Pause–Cut | 19.0% | 89.0% | $0 |
| Pause–Cut–Cut | 18.3% | 99.3% | $0 |
| Pause–Cut–Pause | 17.9% | 99.5% | $0 |
| Cut–Pause–Cut | 17.9% | 99.7% | $0 |
| Cut–Pause–Pause | 14.9% | 99.5% | $0 |
| Cut–Cut–Pause | 1.9% | 99.7% | $0 |
| Cut–Cut–Cut | 0.8% | 99.8% | $0 |
More Economics Events
| Event | Outcomes | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decision in March? | 4 | $518.6M | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Fed decision in April? | 4 | $38.4M | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Largest Company end of March? | 7 | $19.6M | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 9 | $15.6M | Oct 31, 2026 |
| How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 13 | $14.7M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Fed Decision in June? | 5 | $4.6M | Jun 17, 2026 |