Total Volume
$2.4M
Outcomes
30
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 280-299 | 13.0% | 88.0% | $0 |
| 260-279 | 12.0% | 89.0% | $0 |
| 220-239 | 11.0% | 90.0% | $0 |
| 300-319 | 11.0% | 90.0% | $0 |
| 240-259 | 10.0% | 91.0% | $0 |
| 320-339 | 10.0% | 91.0% | $0 |
| 340-359 | 8.0% | 93.0% | $0 |
| 200-219 | 7.0% | 94.0% | $0 |
| 360-379 | 5.0% | 96.0% | $0 |
| 180-199 | 4.1% | 96.0% | $0 |
| 380-399 | 3.1% | 97.0% | $0 |
| 400-419 | 3.1% | 97.0% | $0 |
| 160-179 | 1.9% | 98.2% | $0 |
| 420-439 | 1.8% | 98.3% | $0 |
| 440-459 | 1.4% | 98.7% | $0 |
| 460-479 | 0.8% | 99.3% | $0 |
| 500-519 | 0.7% | 99.7% | $0 |
| 480-499 | 0.6% | 99.5% | $0 |
| 140-159 | 0.5% | 99.6% | $0 |
| 520-539 | 0.4% | 99.7% | $0 |
| 540-559 | 0.4% | 99.8% | $0 |
| 120-139 | 0.4% | 99.7% | $0 |
| 580+ | 0.3% | 99.8% | $0 |
| 560-579 | 0.3% | 99.8% | $0 |
| 80-99 | 0.2% | 99.9% | $0 |
| 100-119 | 0.2% | 99.9% | $0 |
| 20-39 | 0.1% | 100.0% | $2 |
| <20 | 0.1% | 100.0% | $0 |
| 40-59 | 0.1% | 100.0% | $0 |
| 60-79 | 0.1% | 100.0% | $0 |
More Culture Events
| Event | Outcomes | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|
| NBA MVP | 22 | $67.6M | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | 1 | $52.5M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Eurovision Winner 2026 | 35 | $50.6M | May 16, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? | 8 | $29.5M | Jan 07, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | 2 | $21.9M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | 1 | $13.0M | May 31, 2026 |