Total Volume
$2.8M
Outcomes
7
Resolution
No
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's Claude 5 model is made available to the general public by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," Claude 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general pub...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| February 28, 2026 | 100.0% | 100.0% | $1 |
| March 15, 2026 | 100.0% | 100.0% | $0 |
| April 30, 2026 | 26.0% | 76.0% | $0 |
| March 31, 2026 | 5.8% | 94.5% | $1 |
| February 6 | 0.1% | 100.0% | $0 |
| February 14, 2026 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $0 |
| December 31, 2025 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $0 |
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