Tech Prediction Markets

Trade outcomes on Jupiter prediction markets. Buy Yes or No shares on real-world events.

Active Events
174
With 748 outcomes
Total Volume
$97.2M
Across all events
Resolved
54
Settled outcomes
Categories
11
Market topics
All Politics Crypto Culture Finance Sports Weather Climate & science Economics Tech Esports Mentions

Tech Active Prediction Markets

Event Category Yes No Volume Ends
Which companies will be acquired before 2027? (16 outcomes) Tech 72.0% 34.0% $17.3M Dec 31, 2026
Which company has the best AI model end of March? (11 outcomes) Tech 99.8% 0.3% $15.9M Mar 31, 2026
IPOs before 2027? (33 outcomes) Tech 91.9% 8.6% $5.2M Dec 31, 2026
What will SpaceX's public ticker be? (9 outcomes) Tech 33.0% 68.0% $3.9M Dec 31, 2027
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Tech 1.4% 98.8% $3.0M Jun 30, 2026
Claude 5 released by…? (9 outcomes) Tech 26.0% 76.0% $2.9M Apr 30, 2026
Which company has best AI model end of June? (10 outcomes) Tech 66.0% 34.5% $2.9M Jun 30, 2026
Which company has the best AI model end of April? (13 outcomes) Tech 90.0% 11.0% $2.7M Apr 30, 2026
AI bubble burst by...? (3 outcomes) Tech 23.0% 78.5% $2.5M Dec 31, 2026
Human moon landing in 2026? Tech 3.9% 96.3% $1.9M Dec 31, 2026
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go? (5 outcomes) Tech 4.3% 96.6% $1.8M Mar 31, 2026
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? (12 outcomes) Tech 90.0% 11.0% $1.6M Dec 31, 2026
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap (7 outcomes) Tech 67.0% 36.0% $1.5M Jun 30, 2026
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (8 outcomes) Tech 52.0% 49.0% $1.5M —
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (8 outcomes) Tech 94.0% 7.0% $1.5M Dec 31, 2027
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ? (5 outcomes) Tech 68.0% 35.0% $1.4M Dec 31, 2027
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30? (11 outcomes) Tech 16.0% 86.0% $1.4M Jun 30, 2026
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 (12 outcomes) Tech 45.0% 79.0% $1.4M Jan 31, 2026
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO? (9 outcomes) Tech 32.0% 70.0% $1.2M Dec 31, 2027
Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31? (9 outcomes) Tech 99.0% 1.4% $1.1M Mar 31, 2026
OpenAI IPO by...? (3 outcomes) Tech 41.0% 64.0% $1.1M Dec 31, 2026
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On) (10 outcomes) Tech 98.2% 2.3% $1,000.0K Mar 31, 2026
Which companies added to S&P 500 in Q1 2026? (7 outcomes) Tech 0.4% 99.9% $994.9K Mar 31, 2026
Who will acquire TikTok? (7 outcomes) Tech 18.2% 89.0% $993.4K Dec 31, 2026
Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition? (4 outcomes) Tech 72.0% 29.0% $965.4K Jun 30, 2027
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (7 outcomes) Tech 96.5% 3.8% $905.3K Jun 30, 2026
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ? (9 outcomes) Tech 94.0% 7.0% $891.3K Dec 31, 2027
DeepSeek V4 released by...? (6 outcomes) Tech 60.0% 47.0% $884.7K Apr 15, 2026
Gemini 3.5 released by...? (4 outcomes) Tech 50.0% 59.0% $806.3K Jun 30, 2026
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap (6 outcomes) Tech 83.0% 20.0% $803.0K Jun 30, 2026
How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026? (8 outcomes) Tech 19.0% 82.0% $802.4K Mar 31, 2026
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On) (13 outcomes) Tech 83.0% 18.0% $799.8K Apr 30, 2026
NASA Artemis II (4 outcomes) Tech 84.0% 19.0% $697.5K Mar 31, 2026
Next CEO of Apple? (4 outcomes) Tech 41.0% 60.0% $667.4K Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Higher Strikes) (8 outcomes) Tech 47.0% 55.0% $649.1K Dec 31, 2027
Which company has the second best AI model end of March? (11 outcomes) Tech 99.0% 1.3% $617.6K Mar 31, 2026
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? Tech 24.0% 78.0% $543.5K Dec 31, 2026
Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On) (10 outcomes) Tech 98.4% 2.1% $542.2K Mar 31, 2026
Which company has the third best AI model end of March? (11 outcomes) Tech 99.4% 0.9% $524.9K Mar 31, 2026
Which company will have the best AI model for math on March 31? (9 outcomes) Tech 99.7% 0.7% $487.4K Mar 31, 2026
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On) (10 outcomes) Tech 57.0% 59.0% $475.1K Jun 30, 2026
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? Tech 70.0% 32.0% $398.7K Dec 31, 2026
Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On) (10 outcomes) Tech 96.8% 4.3% $384.0K Mar 31, 2026
Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap (8 outcomes) Tech 90.1% 19.8% $365.2K Jun 30, 2026
GPT-6 released by…? (5 outcomes) Tech 83.0% 19.0% $358.3K Dec 31, 2026
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...? (5 outcomes) Tech 77.0% 30.0% $344.4K Mar 31, 2026
Which company has second best AI model end of June? (10 outcomes) Tech 52.0% 53.0% $332.9K Jun 30, 2026
GPT-5.5 released by...? (3 outcomes) Tech 92.0% 20.0% $294.4K Jun 30, 2026
Grok 5 released by...? (3 outcomes) Tech 21.0% 80.0% $288.4K Jun 30, 2026
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Tech 56.0% 46.0% $248.6K Dec 31, 2026
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Tech 25.0% 77.0% $242.2K Dec 31, 2026
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...? (3 outcomes) Tech 58.0% 68.0% $241.0K Dec 31, 2026
Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30? (5 outcomes) Tech 99.5% 8.0% $202.9K Feb 28, 2026
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31? Tech 0.8% 99.7% $198.0K Mar 31, 2026
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30? (3 outcomes) Tech 94.7% 7.0% $187.8K Jun 30, 2026
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Tech 25.0% 76.0% $174.4K Nov 19, 2026
Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30? (9 outcomes) Tech 92.2% 9.9% $154.8K Jun 30, 2026
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? Tech 86.0% 37.0% $144.5K Dec 31, 2025
Anthropic CEO arrested? Tech 3.7% 97.2% $140.4K Jun 30, 2026
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? Tech 8.0% 93.0% $134.9K Jun 30, 2026
Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap (8 outcomes) Tech 65.0% 40.0% $118.1K Dec 31, 2027
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Tech 80.0% 21.0% $104.8K Dec 31, 2026
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Tech 71.5% 30.4% $102.7K Dec 31, 2026
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026? (10 outcomes) Tech 62.0% 73.0% $102.3K Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Tech 45.0% 66.0% $101.3K Dec 31, 2026
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? Tech 28.0% 74.0% $99.7K Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (7 outcomes) Tech 81.0% 29.0% $93.1K Dec 31, 2027
How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30? (8 outcomes) Tech 54.0% 61.0% $91.8K Jun 30, 2026
What will Bitcoin outperform in March? (4 outcomes) Tech 99.6% 0.8% $91.3K Mar 31, 2026
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? Tech 35.0% 67.0% $91.2K Dec 31, 2026
Which company has the third best AI model end of April? (13 outcomes) Tech 64.0% 38.0% $87.3K Apr 30, 2026
What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be? (7 outcomes) Tech 31.0% 72.0% $81.4K —
Liftoff Mobile IPO Closing Market Cap (8 outcomes) Tech 99.9% 0.3% $80.3K Feb 06, 2026
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Tech 88.0% 13.0% $78.6K Dec 31, 2026
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? Tech 17.0% 87.0% $78.2K Jun 30, 2026
How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO? (10 outcomes) Tech 27.0% 76.0% $73.8K —
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Tech 47.0% 64.0% $72.6K Dec 31, 2026
Which exchange will SpaceX list on? (3 outcomes) Tech 93.0% 9.0% $70.3K —
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? Tech 11.0% 90.0% $70.1K Jun 30, 2026
Will Tesla release Optimus by...? (2 outcomes) Tech 26.0% 78.0% $67.9K Dec 31, 2026
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back? Tech 7.0% 94.0% $67.3K Jun 30, 2027
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31? (5 outcomes) Tech 62.0% 41.0% $66.1K Dec 31, 2026
Claude 4.7 released by...? (4 outcomes) Tech 47.0% 58.0% $62.5K Jun 30, 2026
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20? (8 outcomes) Tech 70.0% 32.0% $59.8K Mar 20, 2026
Critical Discord Incident by...? (5 outcomes) Tech 96.0% 96.0% $58.5K Apr 30, 2026
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? Tech 4.7% 96.2% $56.7K Jun 30, 2026
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first? (2 outcomes) Tech 97.0% 0.0% $56.5K Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30? (4 outcomes) Tech 59.0% 46.0% $55.9K Feb 28, 2026
Clear Street Group IPO Closing Market Cap (9 outcomes) Tech 100.0% 0.1% $53.6K Feb 13, 2026
Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30? (4 outcomes) Tech 98.8% 8.0% $48.9K Feb 28, 2026
Another Elon baby by June 30? Tech 18.0% 87.0% $47.4K Jun 30, 2026
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Tech 23.0% 81.0% $44.5K Dec 31, 2026
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon? Tech 18.0% 83.0% $43.6K Apr 30, 2026
Sam Altman in jail by...? (2 outcomes) Tech 3.9% 98.0% $41.2K Dec 31, 2025
VEO 4 released by...? (3 outcomes) Tech 2.2% 98.8% $40.3K Mar 31, 2026
Claude Mythos released by…? (3 outcomes) Tech 70.0% 32.0% $39.6K Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket surpasses Robinhood on Similar Web in 2026? Tech 97.5% 3.4% $38.0K Dec 31, 2026
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20? (8 outcomes) Tech 46.0% 73.0% $35.8K Mar 20, 2026
Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries? Tech 1.0% 99.4% $33.8K Apr 14, 2026
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? Tech 11.0% 92.0% $32.5K Dec 31, 2026
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? Tech 18.0% 84.0% $30.4K Jun 30, 2026
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? Tech 33.0% 68.0% $30.1K Dec 31, 2026
Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30? Tech 4.3% 96.0% $28.8K Jun 30, 2026
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Tech 27.0% 78.0% $26.7K Dec 31, 2026
Deel IPO by March 31? Tech 0.1% 100.0% $25.3K Mar 31, 2026
ChatGPT Outage by March 20? (3 outcomes) Tech 20.0% 84.0% $25.1K Apr 03, 2026
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? (9 outcomes) Tech 53.0% 62.0% $24.1K Dec 31, 2026
AWS service disrupted by March 31? Tech 26.0% 79.0% $22.8K Mar 31, 2026
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? Tech 9.0% 93.0% $22.6K Dec 31, 2026
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? Tech 23.0% 88.0% $22.5K Dec 31, 2026
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? Tech 35.0% 79.0% $21.8K Dec 31, 2026
Strava IPO Closing Market Cap (9 outcomes) Tech 53.0% 63.0% $20.1K Dec 31, 2027
How many SpaceX launches in March? (7 outcomes) Tech 99.4% 1.4% $19.8K Mar 31, 2026
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30? (4 outcomes) Tech 74.0% 61.0% $17.6K Feb 28, 2026
How many SpaceX launches in April? (7 outcomes) Tech 73.0% 42.0% $15.1K Apr 30, 2026
Ledger IPO closing market cap above ___ ? (7 outcomes) Tech 60.6% 49.0% $13.9K Jan 01, 2028
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap (7 outcomes) Tech 40.0% 79.0% $13.7K Dec 31, 2027
Will Claude go down on __ days in March? (7 outcomes) Tech 54.0% 66.0% $13.7K Mar 31, 2026
Services Down Parlay Tech 6.0% 98.8% $13.5K Mar 31, 2026
AWS service disrupted by March 31? Tech 5.0% 98.0% $13.2K Mar 31, 2026
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...? (2 outcomes) Tech 92.0% 9.0% $13.1K Mar 31, 2026
What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (March 20) (21 outcomes) Tech 97.9% 4.9% $13.0K Mar 20, 2026
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31? Tech 3.6% 98.6% $12.7K Mar 31, 2026
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? Tech 67.0% 37.0% $12.6K Dec 31, 2026
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 24-30? Tech 1.0% 99.5% $12.5K Mar 31, 2026
Which company has the second best AI model end of April? (13 outcomes) Tech 81.0% 22.0% $12.5K Apr 30, 2026
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On) (13 outcomes) Tech 84.0% 20.0% $12.4K Apr 30, 2026
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027? Tech 37.0% 67.0% $12.1K Dec 31, 2026
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026? Tech 91.0% 13.0% $11.0K Dec 31, 2026
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? Tech 24.1% 82.9% $10.7K Dec 31, 2026
Will Claude go down on __ days in April? (5 outcomes) Tech 43.0% 61.0% $9.5K Apr 30, 2026
Elon Bull Run Parlay Tech 18.0% 84.0% $9.1K Dec 31, 2026
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26? (2 outcomes) Tech 84.0% 0.0% $9.0K Feb 28, 2027
Anthropic acquired before 2027? Tech 14.0% 88.0% $9.0K Dec 31, 2026
Will Apple release a new version of the Apple TV by March 31? Tech 1.7% 98.5% $8.8K Mar 31, 2026
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 20? (8 outcomes) Tech 89.0% 12.0% $7.8K Mar 20, 2026
Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30? Tech 5.7% 96.1% $7.8K Jun 30, 2026
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? Tech 51.7% 68.4% $7.3K Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? (2 outcomes) Tech 95.3% 0.0% $7.2K Dec 31, 2027
#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 31? (8 outcomes) Tech 65.0% 39.0% $6.9K Mar 31, 2026
Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On) (13 outcomes) Tech 51.0% 70.0% $6.8K Apr 30, 2026
𝕏 Money launched by...? (3 outcomes) Tech 58.0% 49.0% $6.5K Apr 30, 2026
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? Tech 16.0% 89.0% $5.8K Dec 31, 2026
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26? (2 outcomes) Tech 96.0% 0.0% $5.7K Mar 31, 2026
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30? Tech 4.8% 97.8% $5.4K Jun 30, 2026
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? Tech 27.0% 75.0% $5.0K Dec 31, 2026
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? Tech 97.3% 78.5% $4.7K Dec 31, 2026
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31? (9 outcomes) Tech 97.0% 12.0% $4.6K Mar 31, 2026
Bill Gates charged by June 30? Tech 5.9% 94.9% $4.5K Jun 30, 2026
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Tech 15.0% 87.0% $4.3K Jun 30, 2026
Meta "Mango" model released by...? (2 outcomes) Tech 59.0% 72.0% $4.0K Jun 30, 2026
Robinhood self-certifies sports event contract by March 31? Tech 2.0% 98.8% $3.5K Mar 31, 2026
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30? (3 outcomes) Tech 47.0% 76.0% $3.5K Jun 30, 2026
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? Tech 67.0% 46.0% $3.1K Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company? Tech 6.4% 98.8% $2.7K Dec 31, 2026
Will Ohio Revoke Any OSB License Over Event-Contract Activity by March 31? Tech 2.9% 99.4% $2.6K Mar 31, 2026
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? Tech 8.0% 95.0% $2.3K Dec 31, 2026
Critical Discord Incident by April 30? Tech 20.0% 81.0% $1.8K Apr 30, 2026
Precipitation in Seoul in April? (9 outcomes) Tech 44.0% 64.0% $1.3K Apr 30, 2026
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...? (3 outcomes) Tech 84.6% 30.0% $894 Apr 15, 2026
ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...? (3 outcomes) Tech 91.0% 17.0% $782 Apr 14, 2026
AWS service disrupted by April 30? Tech 65.0% 61.0% $730 Apr 30, 2026
ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10? Tech 9.0% 93.0% $354 Apr 10, 2026
xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30? (4 outcomes) Tech 80.0% 29.0% $119 Feb 28, 2026
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 31-April 6? Tech 89.0% 38.0% $80 Apr 07, 2026
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 31-April 6? Tech 89.0% 34.0% $77 Apr 07, 2026
Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30? Tech 7.8% 96.0% $0 Jun 30, 2026
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? Tech 75.0% 66.0% $0 Dec 31, 2026
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027? Tech 13.0% 93.0% $0 Dec 31, 2026
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30? Tech 48.0% 75.0% $0 Jun 30, 2026
OpenAI acquired before 2027? Tech 19.8% 96.9% $0 Dec 31, 2026
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? Tech 17.0% 93.0% $0 Dec 31, 2026
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30? Tech 70.0% 42.0% $0 Jun 30, 2026
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26? (2 outcomes) Tech 98.0% 0.0% $0 May 05, 2026
About Prediction Markets

Prediction markets let you trade on the outcomes of future events. Buy Yes shares if you think an event will happen, or No shares if you think it won't. Prices range from $0 to $1, reflecting the market's probability estimate. When the event resolves, winning shares pay out $1 each.

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