Total Volume
$243
Outcomes
4
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| $39 trillion | 99.7% | 0.6% | $0 |
| $40 trillion | 99.5% | 2.3% | $0 |
| $41 trillion | 64.0% | 81.0% | $0 |
| $42 trillion | 12.0% | 90.0% | $0 |
More Economics Events
| Event | Outcomes | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decision in March? | 4 | $518.6M | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Largest Company end of March? | 7 | $12.3M | Mar 31, 2026 |
| How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 13 | $10.7M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Fed decision in April? | 4 | $10.2M | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Largest Company end of June? | 7 | $2.6M | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan Decision in March? | 4 | $2.1M | Mar 19, 2026 |