Fed rate cut by...?

March Meeting

Economics Jupiter Ends Mar 18, 2026 0 days left
Resolved
Yes
0.1%
$0.0010
No
100.0%
$1.0000
Event Volume
$2.0M
Resolution
No
Outcomes in Event
8
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for March 2026, currently scheduled for March 17-18. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no March meeting takes place by April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary...

Other Outcomes: Fed rate cut by...?

View All Outcomes

This event has 8 possible outcomes. See event page →

December Meeting
72.0%
October Meeting
58.0%
September Meeting
56.9%
July Meeting
47.0%
June Meeting
15.0%
April Meeting
3.9%
January Meeting
0.0%

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Fed decision in March? $518.6M Mar 18, 2026
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