Total Volume
$1.2M
Outcomes
8
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for December 2026, currently scheduled for December 8-9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no December meeting takes place by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. Th...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| December Meeting | 65.0% | 40.0% | $0 |
| October Meeting | 59.3% | 56.9% | $0 |
| September Meeting | 54.3% | 66.8% | $0 |
| July Meeting | 27.0% | 76.0% | $0 |
| June Meeting | 12.0% | 89.0% | $0 |
| April Meeting | 1.7% | 98.4% | $0 |
| March Meeting | 0.1% | 100.0% | $0 |
| January Meeting | 0.0% | 0.0% | $1 |
More Economics Events
| Event | Outcomes | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decision in March? | 4 | $518.6M | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Fed decision in April? | 4 | $38.4M | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Largest Company end of March? | 7 | $19.6M | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 9 | $15.6M | Oct 31, 2026 |
| How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 13 | $14.7M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Fed Decision in June? | 5 | $4.6M | Jun 17, 2026 |