Yes
50.3%
$0.5030
No
98.7%
$0.9870
Event Volume
$257
Outcomes in Event
6
Resolution Rules

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026, with congressional primaries running from March through September. This market will resolve according to the number of Democratic House incumbents who do not win their nominating election to move on to the general election as a result of the 2026 midterm primary elections. An incumbent will be considered not to have won their election if they are not declared the winner of the election they sought, including if they withd...

Other Outcomes: How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

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This event has 6 possible outcomes. See event page →

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