How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

4

Climate & science Jupiter Ends Dec 31, 2026 286 days left
Active
Yes
2.5%
$0.0250
No
99.1%
$0.9910
Event Volume
$583.4K
Outcomes in Event
6
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of natural volcanic eruptions with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 4 or higher between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source will be the Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program (GVP: https://volcano.si.edu/), specifically the cumulative figures for 2026 for VEI 4, VEI 5, and VEI 6 released on the page currently titled "Eruptions Avg 2000-2024 (N/T)" (https://volcano.si.edu/faq/index.cfm?questio...

Other Outcomes: How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

View All Outcomes

This event has 6 possible outcomes. See event page →

1
50.0%
0
37.0%
2
10.2%
3
5.4%
5+
2.9%

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