Yes
60.0%
$0.6000
No
82.0%
$0.8200
Event Volume
$754
Outcomes in Event
6
Resolution Rules
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026, with congressional primaries running from March through September. This market will resolve according to the number of Republican Senate incumbents who do not win their nominating election to move on to the general election as a result of the 2026 midterm primary elections. An incumbent will be considered not to have won their election if they are not declared the winner of the election they sought, including if they with...
Other Outcomes: How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?
View All OutcomesThis event has 6 possible outcomes. See event page →
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