How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?

20+

Politics Jupiter Ends Mar 31, 2026 0 days left
Active
Yes
0.8%
$0.0080
No
99.7%
$0.9970
Event Volume
$64.2K
Outcomes in Event
7
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve based on the number of distinct commercial vessels on which Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike or otherwise seize control between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah,...

Other Outcomes: How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?

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This event has 7 possible outcomes. See event page →

<5
98.0%
5–7
1.1%
8–10
0.8%
11–13
0.7%
14–16
0.5%
17–19
0.3%

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