Leadership Change

Politics Jupiter Ends Dec 31, 2026 228 days left
Active
Yes
35.0%
$0.3500
No
0.0%
$0.0000
Event Volume
$28.2K
Outcomes in Event
2
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Leadership Change" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran before there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between the United States and Iran. This market will resolve to “Ceasefire” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between the Un...

Other Outcomes: Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

View All Outcomes

This event has 2 possible outcomes. See event page →

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