Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

April 5

Politics Jupiter Ends Apr 30, 2026 0 days left
Active
Yes
30.0%
$0.3000
No
95.0%
$0.9500
Event Volume
$386
Outcomes in Event
10
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date (IRST UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezboll...

Other Outcomes: Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

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This event has 10 possible outcomes. See event page →

April 10
26.0%
April 2
24.0%
April 1
23.0%
April 6
22.0%
April 7
20.0%
April 9
20.0%
April 8
19.0%
April 4
18.0%
April 3
14.0%

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