April 30
Active
Yes
25.0%
$0.2500
No
77.0%
$0.7700
Event Volume
$231.1K
Outcomes in Event
2
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if participation by Israeli military personnel in a ground operation in Iran on or after February 28, 2026, is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A "ground operation" is defined as a military operation that involves Israeli military ground forces conducting operations within Iranian territory. For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving...
Other Outcomes: Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
View All OutcomesThis event has 2 possible outcomes. See event page →
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