March 31
Active
Yes
17.0%
$0.1700
No
86.0%
$0.8600
Event Volume
$207.5K
Outcomes in Event
2
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staf...
Other Outcomes: U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?
View All OutcomesThis event has 2 possible outcomes. See event page →
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