Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Tech Jupiter Ends Jun 30, 2026 102 days left
Active
Yes
16.0%
$0.1600
No
85.0%
$0.8500
Event Volume
$65.1K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by a Chinese company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If a Chinese AI model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market...

More Tech Events

Event Volume Ends
Which companies will be acquired before 2027? $17.1M Dec 31, 2026