Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Tech Jupiter Ends Jun 30, 2026 44 days left
Active
Yes
11.0%
$0.1100
No
90.0%
$0.9000
Event Volume
$70.1K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model owned by a Chinese company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If a Chinese AI model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market...

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