Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Politics Jupiter Ends Dec 31, 2026 228 days left
Active
Yes
44.0%
$0.4400
No
57.0%
$0.5700
Event Volume
$123.4K
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any provincial government in Canada officially schedules a referendum concerning the province’s potential secession from Canada, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any referendum that establishes the province's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify, whether the referendum is binding or non-binding. The resolution source for this market wi...

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