Will any Illinois Dem House incumbent lose their primary?
Active
Yes
60.4%
$0.6040
No
99.8%
$0.9980
Event Volume
$398
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any incumbent member of the US House of Representatives loses a Democratic primary for re-election to their House seat in the upcoming Illinois primary elections, scheduled for March 17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only losses by incumbents who participate in the primary as a formal and current candidate will count. Incumbents choosing not to run for re-election, withdrawing before the primary, being removed from the ballot before voti...
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