Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Politics Jupiter Ends Dec 31, 2026 286 days left
Active
Yes
43.0%
$0.4300
No
58.0%
$0.5800
Event Volume
$11.0M
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This requires a broad consensus of reporting indicating that core structures of the Islamic Republic (e.g. the office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, IRGC control under clerical authority) have been dissolved, incapacitated, or replaced by a fundamentally diff...

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