Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Politics Jupiter Ends Jun 30, 2026 102 days left
Active
Yes
29.0%
$0.2900
No
72.0%
$0.7200
Event Volume
$19.0M
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This requires a broad consensus of reporting indicating that core structures of the Islamic Republic (e.g. the office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, IRGC control under clerical authority) have been dissolved, incapacitated, or replaced by a fundamentally differen...

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