March 31
Active
Yes
4.6%
$0.0460
No
96.7%
$0.9670
Event Volume
$706.1K
Outcomes in Event
2
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kharg Island oil terminal is the subject of a kinetic strike between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consen...
Other Outcomes: Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
View All OutcomesThis event has 2 possible outcomes. See event page →
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