Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?
Active
Yes
21.0%
$0.2100
No
88.0%
$0.8800
Event Volume
$0
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect. A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qu...
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