2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Democrats 4-6%

Politics Jupiter Ends Nov 03, 2026 228 days left
Active
Yes
28.0%
$0.2800
No
88.0%
$0.8800
Event Volume
$276
Outcomes in Event
13
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026. For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this elect...

Other Outcomes: 2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

View All Outcomes

This event has 13 possible outcomes. See event page →

Democrats 2-4%
46.9%
Democrats 0-2%
41.9%
Republicans 0-2%
41.0%
Democrats 8-10%
34.0%
Democrats 6-8%
34.0%
Republicans 4-6%
31.6%
Democrats 10-12%
26.0%
Republicans 6%+
25.4%
Democrats 14-16%
19.0%
Democrats 16%+
18.0%
+2 more outcomes

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