2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Active
Total Volume
$276
Outcomes
13
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026. For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this elect...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrats 2-4% | 46.9% | 92.8% | $0 |
| Democrats 0-2% | 41.9% | 96.4% | $0 |
| Republicans 0-2% | 41.0% | 99.0% | $0 |
| Democrats 8-10% | 34.0% | 91.0% | $0 |
| Democrats 6-8% | 34.0% | 84.0% | $0 |
| Republicans 4-6% | 31.6% | 98.7% | $0 |
| Democrats 4-6% | 28.0% | 88.0% | $0 |
| Democrats 10-12% | 26.0% | 98.0% | $0 |
| Republicans 6%+ | 25.4% | 98.1% | $0 |
| Democrats 14-16% | 19.0% | 99.0% | $0 |
| Democrats 16%+ | 18.0% | 98.9% | $0 |
| Democrats 12-14% | 17.7% | 98.8% | $0 |
| Republicans 2-4% | 14.0% | 95.0% | $0 |
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