How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

Climate & science Jupiter Ends Dec 31, 2026 286 days left
Active
Total Volume
$252.5K
Outcomes
8
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome....

All Outcomes

Outcome Yes No Volume
5-6 43.0% 63.0% $0
<5 37.0% 68.0% $0
7-8 17.0% 86.0% $0
9-10 11.0% 96.0% $0
11-12 4.7% 97.6% $0
>16 4.6% 99.7% $0
15-16 1.9% 98.9% $0
13-14 1.9% 99.0% $0

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