How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Climate & science Jupiter Ends Dec 31, 2026 286 days left
Active
Total Volume
$1.0M
Outcomes
7
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source,...

All Outcomes

Outcome Yes No Volume
11–13 34.0% 67.0% $0
8–10 25.0% 78.0% $0
14–16 24.0% 78.0% $0
17–19 11.0% 90.0% $0
5–7 6.9% 94.1% $0
20+ 3.8% 98.3% $0
<5 2.5% 98.0% $0

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