Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Tech Jupiter Ends Jun 30, 2026 102 days left
Resolved
Total Volume
$1.1M
Outcomes
11
Resolution
Yes
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The reso...

All Outcomes

Outcome Yes No Volume
Anthropic 100.0% 100.0% $0
xAI 26.0% 76.0% $1
OpenAI 26.0% 75.0% $0
Alibaba 8.9% 96.9% $0
DeepSeek 8.7% 91.7% $0
Z.ai 8.0% 94.0% $0
Meta 6.0% 97.0% $0
Mistral 4.1% 99.0% $0
Nvidia 3.5% 98.2% $0
Baidu 3.5% 97.0% $0
Meituan 3.0% 98.1% $0

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