Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Tech Jupiter Ends Jun 30, 2026 44 days left
Resolved
Total Volume
$1.4M
Outcomes
11
Resolution
Yes
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The reso...

All Outcomes

Outcome Yes No Volume
Anthropic 100.0% 100.0% $0
OpenAI 29.0% 72.0% $0
xAI 16.0% 86.0% $1
Alibaba 16.0% 95.9% $0
Mistral 10.0% 97.8% $0
Meta 8.0% 95.0% $0
DeepSeek 7.4% 92.8% $0
Z.ai 7.0% 96.0% $0
Nvidia 5.3% 98.3% $0
Baidu 5.0% 96.9% $0
Meituan 3.6% 97.7% $0

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