Total Volume
$1.2M
Outcomes
9
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of SpaceX. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or SpaceX completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bank of America | 45.0% | 60.2% | $0 |
| Goldman Sachs | 32.0% | 70.0% | $0 |
| Morgan Stanley | 25.0% | 77.0% | $0 |
| JPMorgan | 1.1% | 99.1% | $0 |
| Barclays | 0.6% | 99.8% | $0 |
| Citigroup | 0.3% | 99.8% | $0 |
| Deutsche Bank | 0.3% | 99.8% | $0 |
| UBS | 0.3% | 99.8% | $0 |
| Wells Fargo | 0.2% | 99.9% | $0 |
More Tech Events
| Event | Outcomes | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|
| Which companies will be acquired before 2027? | 16 | $17.3M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Which company has the best AI model end of March? | 11 | $15.9M | Mar 31, 2026 |
| IPOs before 2027? | 33 | $5.2M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| What will SpaceX's public ticker be? | 9 | $3.9M | Dec 31, 2027 |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | 1 | $3.0M | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Claude 5 released by…? | 9 | $2.9M | Apr 30, 2026 |