Total Volume
$628.9K
Outcomes
4
Resolution
No
Resolution Rules
If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Ar...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| February 7 | 100.0% | 100.0% | $0 |
| April 30 | 75.0% | 29.0% | $0 |
| March 31 | 0.5% | 99.7% | $0 |
| February 28 | 0.1% | 100.0% | $0 |
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