Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Tech Jupiter Ends Dec 31, 2026 228 days left
Active
Total Volume
$24.1K
Outcomes
9
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the listed entity, which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1550+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Results from the "Text Arena" section on the leaderboard/text tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) will be used to resolve this market. If no company's model reaches 1550+ Arena Score by the specified time, thi...

All Outcomes

Outcome Yes No Volume
None in 2026 53.0% 62.0% $0
Anthropic 45.0% 70.0% $0
Google 14.0% 93.0% $0
OpenAI 7.0% 96.0% $0
DeepSeek 4.9% 99.4% $0
xAI 4.8% 98.2% $0
Alibaba 3.4% 99.3% $0
Mistral 1.0% 99.7% $0
Z.ai 0.3% 99.8% $0

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