Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Tech Jupiter Ends Dec 31, 2026 286 days left
Active
Total Volume
$4.2K
Outcomes
9
Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the listed entity, which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1550+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Results from the "Text Arena" section on the leaderboard/text tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) will be used to resolve this market. If no company's model reaches 1550+ Arena Score by the specified time, thi...

All Outcomes

Outcome Yes No Volume
None in 2026 49.0% 60.0% $0
Anthropic 31.0% 75.0% $0
Google 19.0% 87.0% $0
OpenAI 11.0% 95.0% $0
DeepSeek 3.9% 99.7% $0
Alibaba 3.4% 99.5% $0
xAI 1.9% 98.5% $0
Mistral 1.1% 99.7% $0
Z.ai 0.3% 99.8% $0

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