Total Volume
$358.3K
Outcomes
5
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 83.0% | 19.0% | $0 |
| September 30, 2026 | 80.0% | 30.0% | $0 |
| June 30, 2026 | 23.0% | 79.0% | $0 |
| March 31, 2026 | 0.3% | 99.9% | $0 |
| December 31, 2025 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $0 |
More Tech Events
| Event | Outcomes | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|
| Which companies will be acquired before 2027? | 16 | $17.3M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Which company has the best AI model end of March? | 11 | $15.9M | Mar 31, 2026 |
| IPOs before 2027? | 33 | $5.2M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| What will SpaceX's public ticker be? | 9 | $3.9M | Dec 31, 2027 |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | 1 | $3.0M | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Claude 5 released by…? | 9 | $2.9M | Apr 30, 2026 |