Total Volume
$67.9K
Outcomes
2
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla releases a humanoid, bipedal robot (such as Optimus) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying product is a humanoid, bipedal robot intended for consumer use and newly introduced. Non-humanoid robotics, accessories, internal factory deployments, employee-only programs, and partner/enterprise pilots do not qualify. To be considered “released,” the product must be available for purchase by the general p...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 26.0% | 78.0% | $0 |
| June 30 | 6.9% | 94.1% | $0 |
More Tech Events
| Event | Outcomes | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|
| Which companies will be acquired before 2027? | 16 | $17.3M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Which company has the best AI model end of March? | 11 | $15.9M | Mar 31, 2026 |
| IPOs before 2027? | 33 | $5.2M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| What will SpaceX's public ticker be? | 9 | $3.9M | Dec 31, 2027 |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | 1 | $3.0M | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Claude 5 released by…? | 9 | $2.9M | Apr 30, 2026 |