Total Volume
$64.3K
Outcomes
2
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla releases a humanoid, bipedal robot (such as Optimus) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying product is a humanoid, bipedal robot intended for consumer use and newly introduced. Non-humanoid robotics, accessories, internal factory deployments, employee-only programs, and partner/enterprise pilots do not qualify. To be considered “released,” the product must be available for purchase by the general p...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 24.0% | 79.0% | $0 |
| June 30 | 9.8% | 90.7% | $0 |
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|---|---|---|---|
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| What will SpaceX's public ticker be? | 8 | $2.6M | Dec 31, 2027 |