Total Volume
$2.2M
Outcomes
3
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the AI industry experiences an industry downturn by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the AI industry will be considered to have experienced an industry downturn once at least three of the following events have occurred within 90 days of this market's specified timeframe: - NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) closing stock price is down 50% from its all-time high. - iShares PHLX Semiconductor...
All Outcomes
| Outcome | Yes | No | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 20.0% | 80.1% | $2 |
| March 31, 2026 | 0.9% | 99.4% | $0 |
| December 31, 2025 | 0.0% | 0.0% | $0 |
More Tech Events
| Event | Outcomes | Volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|
| Which companies will be acquired before 2027? | 16 | $17.1M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Which company has the best AI model end of March? | 11 | $10.0M | Mar 31, 2026 |
| IPOs before 2027? | 33 | $4.3M | Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | 1 | $2.9M | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Claude 5 released by…? | 7 | $2.8M | Apr 30, 2026 |
| What will SpaceX's public ticker be? | 8 | $2.6M | Dec 31, 2027 |